Just say no to implosion


For as bad as macroeconomics can get, they sure make life feel light compared to the despair that results from excessive self-absorption. Frida Kahlo’s exhibit at the SFMOMA is a cautionary tale of the futility of remaining trapped in one’s immediate experience. My friend Melissa remarked how about 90% of her work was self-portraits.

Given how important it is to have outside perspectives to ground you in reality, it is no wonder she was enmeshed so long with her near-canine partner.

“Sin Esperanza” (above) drives this home most poignantly in both image and title.

A lagging indicator, but the best we got (barring Roubini)


In Monday’s post I lamented regulation as an inadequate step to curtail the excesses of human nature. Since then, we can add WaMu to the mix of flailing financial institutions and point to regulators’ scramble to stem the hemorrhaging. Of course, hindsight IS always 20/20 but I also recognize that regulation – like any law – is effected in hindsight and can certainly help stem the degree of vice it’s intending to address. My tired brain’s analogy: while a guardrail may not obstruct the most reckless vehicle, it can hopefully curtail the ensuing damage.

Then again, if only we’d listened to Nostradamus….er….Roubini (I’m in my honeymoon phase – leave me alone for now)

Nouriel to the rescue

I timed out yesterday because I knew I was missing something…banks have quarterly earnings and short-term rewards but aren’t crumbling in the same way other financial services institutions are…Roubini cuts to the chase as to why so much of our financial services sector is crumbling…and what the implications are…:

The problem, he says, is that broker/dealers use the same model as banks —
borrow short and lend long — only they borrow on even shorter timeframes, use
more leverage, and don’t have the kind of government backstop banks enjoy.In the
wake of Bear Stearns’ demise, which showed how brokers are vulnerable to a “run on the bank” if they can’t get overnight funding, the Fed temporarily
opened its discount window to brokerage firms
. But making that option
permanent means submitting to the same kind of regulation and capital requirements as banks; that, in turn, means a very different business model — and much lower profitability — for Wall Street firms, whose current business model
is “not viable,” he says.With U.S. financial giants like JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America dealing with internal issues, the most likely buyers are international financial firms or sovereign wealth funds, Roubini says. But unlike in 2007,
foreigners are not going to settle
for preferred shares, and non-voting
rights next time around.That raises the questions: Is America ready for (true)
foreign ownership of major financial institutions? And do we have a
choice?